![]() ![]() Though the European and American hurricane models are considered one of the best, the best forecast is thought to come from multiple models. Scientists can use these models to create scenarios, predicting hurricane paths through them. The models then use mathematical equations that show how each cube interacts with the other, creating effects such as wind blowing from one cube to the other. Each of these cubes is associated with a specific temperature, pressure, and humidity - within a 3D grid. They plug this information into a model that then divides the atmosphere into small cubes of air. To start with, data from satellites and ground-based systems such as weather balloons guide the scientists. Scientists predict the path of these hurricanes using spaghetti models–maps plotted with spindly lines that point where the hurricane might go. You may have seen the weather forecaster display a cone showing the areas that would be impacted by a hurricane. ![]() The category 4 hurricane suddenly stalled over the Bahamas, devastating the low-lying islands and leaving behind at least 43 dead and another 70,000 homeless.Īfter briefly touching the Outer Banks of North Carolina, the hurricane remained largely off the eastern U.S coast and hit land again in eastern Canada as a post-tropical cyclone with 75 mph winds.īut why did Hurricane Dorian stall over the Bahamas, creating so much damage? And how could scientists who predict hurricane paths not get it right? As it turns out, tracking hurricanes isn’t as simple as it seems. Hurricane Dorian ravaged the Bahamas for 48 hours with its 185 mph (miles per hour) winds. This graphic should complement, not replace, NHC discussions.Hurricanes are one of the most powerful weather events on Earth. The map also has the disclaimer: "NHC advisories and county emergency statements supersede this product. I accept the Fake News apologies!"Īs noted by The Guardian, the map is dated 28 August at 08.06 EDT, three days before Trump sent his tweet claiming that as well as Florida, "South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama, will most likely be hit (much) harder than anticipated." By this time, forecasts said that Alabama would not be in any danger from the hurricane. "As you can see, almost all models predicted it to go through Florida also hitting Georgia and Alabama. "This was the originally projected path of the Hurricane in its early stages," Trump tweeted. #sharpiegate /7rN8YHO488- BHall September 5, 2019Īs noted by weather analyst Dennis Mersereau, it is a federal crime to knowingly issue a "counterfeit weather forecast" or alter an official government weather forecast.ĭespite the National Weather Service confirming that "Alabama will NOT see any impacts" from Dorian shortly after the president's original false claim, Trump once again attempted to prove his statement was correct by tweeting another map with several lines predicting Dorian's path, some of which cross into Alabama. This is madness," said user releases photo showing how windmills cause cancer. "#sharpiegate is so petty and moronic, but it underlines a deeply disturbing (and frankly, terrifying) propensity for the commander in chief of the US to lie, then cover it without regard to the consequences of accountability. "This is probably the stupidest story since his crowd size on inauguration day.And I am here for every minute of it because this thin skinned petty man can't let it go and keeps making a bigger and bigger fool of himself," wrote Travis Bone, executive producer of The Stephanie Miller Show. Social media users ridiculed Trump over #Sharpiegate, with many saying it is another example where the president has openly made false claims, exaggerated or attempted to mislead the public. When a reporter in the Oval office asked whether a Sharpie was used to add the black loop into the corner of Alabama, Trump replied, "I don't know, I don't know." The original NHC map, without the black line, is still available to view online. The map, dated from August 29, has what appears to be a black marker pen line added on to show Dorian could hit south-east Alabama by Tuesday morning (September 3). Read more An MS-13 'Triggerman' on Why He Joined the Gang and How He Left
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